Refereed Journal Articles

Giles, D. E. A., 2024. "New Goodness-of-Fit Tests for the Kumaraswamy Distribution”, Stats, 7, 373-391

Giles, D. E. A., 2024. "The Performance of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Bell Distribution for Count Data",  Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods, 23(2), article 3

Giles, D. E. A., 2022. "Unbiased Estimation of the Standard Deviation for Non-Normal Populations”, WSEAS Transactions on Mathematics, 21, 119-121

Giles, D. E. A., 2022. “Some Consequences of Including Impulse-Indicator Dummy Variables in Econometric Models”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 20, 329-336

Giles, D. E. A., 2021. “Improved Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Weibull Distribution Under Length-Biased Sampling”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 19, 59-77

Godwin, R. T. & D. E. A. Giles, 2019. “Improved Analytic Bias Correction for Maximum Likelihood Estimators”, Communications in Statistics – Simulation and Computation, 48, 15-26

Giles, D. E. A., 2017, “On the Inconsistency of Instrumental Variables Estimators for the Coefficients of Certain Dummy Variables”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 15, 15-26

Giles, D. E. A., H. Feng & R. T. Godwin, 2016, “Bias-Corrected Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Parameters of the Generalized Pareto Distribution”, Communications in Statistics – Theory and Methods, 45, 2465-2483

Schwartz, J. & D. E. A. Giles, 2016, “Bias-Reduced Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Zero-Inflated Poisson Distribution”, Communications in Statistics – Theory and Methods, 45, 465-478

Li, Y. & D. E. A. Giles, 2015, “Modelling Volatility Spillover Effects Between Developed Stock Markets and Asian Emerging Stock Markets”, International Journal of Finance and Economics, 20, 155-177

Xiao, L. & D. E. A. Giles, 2014, “Bias Reduction for the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Generalized Rayleigh Family of Distributions”, Communications in Statistics – Theory and Methods, 43, 1778-1792

Schwartz, J., R. T. Godwin & D. E. A. Giles, 2013, “Improved Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Shape Parameter in the Nakagami Distribution”, Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 83, 434-445

Giles, D. E. A., 2013, “Constructing Confidence Bands for the Hodrick-Prescott Filter”, Applied Economics Letters, 20, 480-484

Giles, D. E. A., 2013, “Exact Asymptotic Goodness-of-Fit Testing for Discrete Circular Data, With Applications”, Chilean Journal of Statistics, 4, 19-34

Giles, D. E. A., H. Feng & R. T. Godwin, 2013, “On the Bias of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Two-Parameter Lomax Distribution”, Communications in Statistics – Theory and Methods, 42, 1934-1950

Chen, Q. & D. E. A. Giles, 2012, “Finite-Sample Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Binary Logit Model with Random Covariates”, Statistical Papers, 53, 409-426

Giles, D. E. A. & R. T. Godwin, 2012, “Testing for Multivariate Cointegration in the Presence of Structural Breaks: p Values and Critical Values”, Applied Economics Letters, 19, 1561-1565

Chen, Q., D. E. A. Giles & H. Feng, 2012, “The Extreme Dependence Between Chinese and Other International Stock Markets”, Applied Financial Economics, 22, 1147-1160

Giles, D. E. A., 2012, “Bias Reduction for the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Parameters in the Half-Logistic Distribution”, Communications in Statistics – Theory & Methods, 41, 212-222

Giles, D. E. A. & H. Feng, 2011, “Reducing the Bias of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Poisson Regression Model”, Economics Bulletin, 31 (4), 2933-294

Chen, Q. & D. E. A. Giles, 2011, “A Saddlepoint Approximation to the Distribution of the Half-Life Estimator in a Stationary Autoregressive Model”, Communications in Statistics - Theory & Methods, 40, 3903-3916

Xie, Y. & D. E. A. Giles, 2011, “A Survival Analysis of the Approval of U.S. Patent Applications”, Applied Economics, 43, 1375-1384

Chen, Q. & D. E. A. Giles, 2011, “Finite-Sample Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Poisson Regression Model with Random Covariates”, Communications in Statistics - Theory & Methods, 40, 1000-1014

Giles, D. E. A., 2010, “Hermite Regression Analysis of Multi-Modal Count Data”, Economics Bulletin, 30, 2936-2945

Ni, Y., S. Guo & D. E. A. Giles, 2010, “Capital Structures in an Emerging Market: A Duration Analysis of the Time Interval Between IPO and SEO in China”, Applied Financial Economics, 20, 1531-1545

Lu, F. & D. E. A. Giles, 2010, “Benford’s Law and Psychological Barriers in certain eBay Auctions”, Applied Economics Letters, 17, 1005-1008

Ren, F. & D. E. Giles, 2010, “Extreme Value Analysis of Canadian Daily Crude Oil Prices”, Applied Financial Economics, 20, 941-954

Bi, G. & D. E. A. Giles, 2009, “Modelling the Financial Risk Associated with U.S. Movie Box Office Earnings”, Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 79, 2759-2766

Shih, R. & D. E. A. Giles, 2009, “Modelling the Duration of Interest Rate Spells Under Inflation Targeting in Canada”, Applied Economics, 41, 1229-1239

Giles, D.E.A., 2008, “Some Properties of Absolute Returns as a Proxy for Volatility”, Applied Financial Economics Letters, 4, 347-350

Stroomer, C. N. & D. E. A. Giles, 2008, “Income Convergence and Trade Openness: Fuzzy Clustering and Time Series Evidence”, International Trade Journal, XXII, 115-155

Chen, Q. & D. E. A. Giles, 2008, “General Saddlepoint Approximations: Application to the Anderson-Darling Test Statistic”, Communications in Statistics, B, 37, 789-804

Dong, L. B. & D. E. A. Giles, 2007, “An Empirical Likelihood Ratio Test for Normality”, Communications in Statistics, B, 36, 197-215

Giles, D. E. A., 2007, “Increasing Returns to Information in the U.S. Popular Music Industry”, Applied Economics Letters, 14, 327-331

Giles, D. E. A., 2007, “Survival of the Hippest: Life at the Top of the Hot 100”, Applied Economics, 39, 1877-1887

Giles, D. E. A., 2007, “Benford’s Law and Naturally Occurring Prices in Certain eBay Auctions”, Applied Economics Letters, 14, 157-161

Chen, Q. & D .E .A. Giles, 2007, “The Bias of Elasticity Estimators in Linear Regression: Some Analytic Results”, Economics Letters, 94, 185-191

Giles, D. E. A., 2007, “Spurious Regressions with Time-Series Data: Further Asymptotic Results”, Communications in Statistics A, 36, 967-979

Giles, D. E. A. & C. N. Stroomer, 2006, “Does Trade Openness Affect the Speed of Output Convergence? Some Empirical Evidence”, Empirical Economics, 31, 883-903

Giles, D .E. A., 2006, “Superstardom in the U.S. Popular Music Industry Revisited”, Economics Letters, 92, 68-7

Shen, K. and D. E. A. Giles, 2006, “Rational Exuberance at the Mall: Addiction to Carrying a Credit Card Balance”, Applied Economics, 38, 587-592

Giles, D. E. A., 2005, “Testing for a Santa Claus Effect in Growth Cycles”, Economics Letters, 87, 421-426

Giles, D. E. A., 2005, “Output Convergence and International Trade: Time-Series and Fuzzy Clustering Evidence for New Zealand and Her Trading Partners, 1950-1992”, Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 14, 93-114

Giles, D. E. A. & H. Feng, 2005, “Output and Well-Being in Industrialized Nations in the Second Half of the 20th Century: Testing for Convergence Using Fuzzy Clustering Analysis”, Structural Change & Economic Dynamics, 16, 285-308

Reinhardt, F. S. & D. E. A. Giles, 2001, “Are Cigarette Bans Really Good Economic Policy?”, Applied Economics, 33, 1365-1368

Giles, D. E. A., G. T. Werkneh & B. J. Johnson, 2001, “Asymmetric Responses of the Underground Economy to Tax Changes: Evidence from New Zealand Data”, Economic Record, 77, 148-159            

Jones, J. C. H., J. A. Schofield & D. E. A. Giles, 2000, “Our Fans in the North: The Demand for British Rugby League”, Applied Economics, 32, 1877-1887

DeBenedictis, L. F. & D. E. A. Giles, 1999, “Robust Specification Testing in Regression: The FRESET Test and Autocorrelated Disturbances”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 15, 67-75

Giles, D. E. A., 1999, “Modelling the Hidden Economy and the Tax-Gap in New Zealand: A Latent Variable Analysis”, Empirical Economics, 24, 621-640              

Giles, D. E. A., 1999, “Measuring the Hidden Economy: Implications for Econometric Modelling”, Economic Journal, 109, F370-F380 (Reprinted in F. Schneider (ed.), The Economics of the Hidden Economy, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, 2008)

Giles, D. E. A., 1999, “The Rise and Fall of the New Zealand Underground Economy: Are the Responses Symmetric?”, Applied Economics Letters, 6, 185-189

Jacobsen, P. W. F. & D. E. A. Giles, 1998, “Income Distribution in the United States: Kuznets’ Inverted U Hypothesis and Data Non-Stationarity”, Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 7, 405-423

Giles, D. E. A., 1997, “Testing for Asymmetry in the Measured and Underground Business Cycles in New Zealand”, Economic Record, 72, 225-232

Giles, D. E. A. & A. S. Keil, 1997, “Applying the RESET Test in Allocation Models: A Cautionary Note”, Applied Economics Letters, 4, 359-363

Giles, D. E. A., 1997, “The Hidden Economy and Tax-Evasion Prosecutions in New Zealand”, Applied Economics Letters, 4, 281-285

Ohtani, K., D. E. A. Giles & J. A. Giles, 1997, “The Exact Risk Performance of a Pre-Test Estimator in a Heteroscedastic Linear Regression Model Under the Balanced Loss Function”, Econometric Reviews, 16, 119-130

Giles, D. E. A., 1997, “Causality Between the Measured and Underground Economies in New Zealand”, Applied Economics Letters, 4, 63-67

Giles, J. A., D. E. A. Giles & K. Ohtani, 1996, “The Exact Risks of Some Pre-Test and Stein-Type Estimators Under Balanced Loss”, Communications in Statistics, A, 25, 2901-2924

Ohtani, K. & D. E. A. Giles, 1996, “On the Estimation of Regression ‘Goodness of Fit’ Under Absolute Error Loss”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 12, 17-26

Giles, J.A. & D.E.A. Giles, 1996, “Risk of a Pre-Test Estimator of the Regression Scale Under LINEX Loss”, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 50, 21-35

Sullivan, M. J. & D. E. A. Giles, 1995, “The Robustness of ARCH/GARCH Tests to First-Order Autocorrelation”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 11, 35-61             

Mandeno, R. J. & D. E. A. Giles, 1995, “The Expectations Theory of the Term Structure: A Cointegration / Causality Analysis of U.S. Interest Rate Data”, Applied Financial Economics, 5, 273-283

Dods, J. L. & D. E. A. Giles, 1995, “Alternative Strategies for ‘Augmenting’ the Dickey-Fuller Test: Size Robustness in the Face of Pre-Testing”, Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 53, 243-258

Giles, D. E. A. & E. McCann, 1994, “Price Indices: Systems Estimation and Tests”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 10, 219-225

Small, J. P., D. E. A. Giles & K. J. White, 1994, “The Exact Powers of Some Autocorrelation Tests When Relevant Regressors Are Omitted”, Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 50, 45-57

Giles, D. E. A. & M. C. Cunneen, 1994, “Preliminary-Test Estimation in a Dynamic Linear Model”, Economics Letters, 44, 21-26

Giles, D. E. A., 1993, “Pre-Test Estimation in Regression Under Absolute Error Loss”, Economics Letters, 41, 339-343

Giles, J. A. & D. E. A. Giles, 1993, “Preliminary-Test Estimation of the Regression Scale Parameter When the Loss Function is Asymmetric”, Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 22, 1709-1734

Giles, D. E. A. & G. N. Saxton, 1993, “The Goldfeld-Quandt Test: A Reappraisal of the ‘One Third’ Rule”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 9, 111-122

Giles, D. E. A., J. A. Giles & J. K. Wong, 1993, “Testing for ARCH-GARCH Errors in a Mis-Specified Regression”, Computational Statistics, 8, 109-126

Giles, D. E. A. & O. Lieberman, 1993, “Bounds on the Effect of Heteroscedasticity on the Chow Test for Structural Change”, Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 22, 687-703

Giles, J. A. & D. E. A. Giles, 1993, “Pre-Test Estimation and Testing in Econometrics: Recent Developments”, Journal of Economic Surveys, 7, 145-197

Giles, D. E. A. & V. K. Srivastava, 1993, “The Exact Distribution of a Least Squares Regression Coefficient Estimator After a Preliminary t-Test”, Statistics and Probability Letters, 16, 59-64

Giles, D. E. A., O. Lieberman & J. A. Giles, 1992, “The Optimal Size of a Preliminary Test of Linear Restrictions in a Mis-Specified Regression Model”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87, 1153-1157

Giles, D. E. A., J. A. Giles & E. McCann, 1992, “Causality, Unit Roots and Export-Led Growth: The New Zealand Experience”, Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 1, 195-218

Browning, K. & D. E. A. Giles, 1992, “Provisional Data and the Rational Prediction of Economic Time-Series”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 8, 359-367

Carrodus, M. L. & D. E. A. Giles, 1992, “The Exact Distribution of R2 When the Regression Disturbances are Autocorrelated”, Economics Letters, 38, 375-380

Giles, D. E. A. & O. Lieberman, 1992, “Some Properties of the Durbin-Watson Test After a Preliminary t-Test”, Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 41, 219-227

Giles, D. E. A. & M. Scott, 1992, “Some Consequences of Using the Chow Test in the Context of Autocorrelated Disturbances”, Economics Letters, 38, 145-150

Srivastava, V. K. & D. E. A. Giles, 1991, “Unbiased Estimation of the Mean Squared Error of the Feasible Generalised Ridge Regression Estimator”, Communications in Statistics:  Theory and Methods, 20, 2375-2386

Srivastava, V. K. & D. E. A. Giles, 1991, “Asymptotic Properties of the OLS Estimator in Simultaneous Equations Models”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 7, 273-276

Giles, D. E. A. & J. P. Small, 1991, “The Power of the Durbin-Watson Test When the Errors are Heteroscedastic”, Economics Letters, 36, 37-41

Giles, D. E. A. & V. K. Srivastava, 1991, “An Unbiased Estimator of the Covariance Matrix of the Mixed Regression Estimator”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 86, 441-446

Giles, D. E. A., 1991, “Some Recent Developments in Econometrics: Lessons for Applied Economists”, in K. W. Clements, R. G. Gregory & T. Takayama (eds.), International Economics Postgraduate Research Conference Volume (Supplement to Economic Record), 3-19

Giles, D. E. A., 1989, “Coefficient Sign Changes When Restricting Regression Models Under Instrumental Variables Estimation”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 51, 465-467

McCann, E. & D. E. A. Giles, 1989, “Divisia Monetary Aggregates and the Real User Cost of Money”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 5, 127-141

Giles, D. E. A. and J. A. Clarke, 1989, “Preliminary-Test Estimation of the Scale Parameter in a Mis-Specified Regression Model”, Economics Letters, 30, 201-205

Giles, D. E. A., 1988, “The Estimation of Allocation Models with Autocorrelated Disturbances”, Economics Letters, 28, 147-150

Ullah, A. & D. E. A. Giles, 1988, “The Positive-Part Stein-Rule Estimator and Tests of Linear Hypotheses”, Economics Letters, 26, 49-51

Dissanayake, M. & D. E. A. Giles, 1988, “Household Expenditure in Sri Lanka:  An Engel Curve Analysis”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 4, 133-156

Hampton, P. & D. E. A. Giles, 1988, “Urban Expenditure Patterns in New Zealand”, Regional Studies, 1988, 22, 49-54

Clarke, J. A., D. E. A. Giles & T. D. Wallace, 1987, “Preliminary-Test Estimation of the Error Variance in Linear Regression”, Econometric Theory, 3, 299-304

Giles, D. E. A. & P. Hampton, 1987, “A Regional Consumer Demand Model for New Zealand”, Journal of Regional Science, 27, 103-118

Clarke, J. A., D. E. A. Giles & T. D. Wallace, 1987, “Estimating the Error Variance in Regression After a Preliminary Test of Restrictions on the Coefficients”, Journal of Econometrics, 34, 293-304

Giles, D. E. A., 1986, “Preliminary Test Estimation in Mis-Specified Regressions”, Economics Letters, 21, 325-328

Giles, D. E. A., 1986, “Missing Measurements and Estimator Inefficiency in Linear Regression:  A Generalization”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 2, 87-91

Giles, D. E. A., B. A. Goss & O. P. L. Chin, 1985, “Intertemporal Allocation in the Corn and Soybeans Market With Rational Expectations”, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 67, 749-760

Giles, D. E. A. & P. Hampton, 1985, “An Engel Curve Analysis of Household Expenditure in New Zealand”, Economic Record, 61, 450-462

Giles, D. E. A., 1985, “A Note on Regression with Extraneous Information”, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 1, 151-159

Hillier, G. H. & D. E. A. Giles, 1984, “Estimation in Equilibrium Models Involving Discretionary Policy Instrument Choice”, Australian Economic Papers, 23, 179-196

Giles, D. E. A. & P. Hampton, 1984, “Regional Production Relationships During the Industrialization of New Zealand, 1935-1948”, Journal of Regional Science, 24, 519-533

Srivastava, V. K. & D. E. A. Giles, 1984, “A Pre-Test General Ridge Regression Estimator: Exact Finite-Sample Properties”, Australian Journal of Statistics, 26, 323-336

King, M. L. & D. E. A. Giles, 1984, “Autocorrelation Pre-Testing in the Linear Model: Estimation, Testing and Prediction”, Journal of Econometrics, 25, 35-48

Giles, D. E. A., 1984, “Instrumental Variables Regressions Involving Seasonal Data”, Economics Letters, 14, 339-343

Giles, D. E. A. & P. Hampton, 1983, “Urban Migration in New Zealand: Dummy Variable Interpretations”, Journal of Urban Economics, 14, 124-125

Giles, D. E. A., 1982, “General Instrumental Variables Estimation Under Stochastic Linear Restrictions”, Economics Letters, 10, 269-275

Giles, D. E. A., 1982, “Instrumental Variables Estimation with Linear Restrictions”, Sankhyā: The Indian Journal of Statistics, B, 44, 343-350

Giles, D. E. A., 1982, “The Interpretation of Dummy Variables in Semilogarithmic Equations: Unbiased Estimation”, Economics Letters, 10, 77-79

Goss, B. A. & D. E. A. Giles, 1982, “La Previsione del Prezzo dell'oro” (“Forecasting the Price of Gold”), L'Industria: Rivista di Economia e Politica Industriale, III, 411-430

Giles, D. E. A., 1981, “Recursions for Instrumental Variables Estimators”, Economics Letters, 8, 235-238

Giles, D. E. A., 1981, “Testing for Parameter Stability in Structural Relationships”, Economics Letters, 7, 323-326

Giles, D. E. A. & C. K. Low, 1981, “Choosing Between Alternative Structural Equations Estimated by Instrumental Variables”, Review of Economics and Statistics, LXIII, 476-478

Giles, D. E. A. & P. Hampton, 1981, “Interval Estimation in the Calibration of Certain Trip Distribution Models”, Transportation Research, B, 15, 203-219

Giles, D. E. A. & B. A. Goss, 1981, “Futures Prices as Forecasts of Spot Prices in the Australian Wool and Beef Cattle Markets”, Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2, 1-13

Giles, D. E. A. & B. A. Goss, 1980, “The Predictive Quality of Futures Prices with an Application to the Sydney Wool Futures Market”, Australian Economic Papers, 19, 291-300

Giles, D. E. A. & A. C. Rayner, 1979, “Forecasting from Restricted and Unrestricted Reduced Forms with Undersized Samples”, New Zealand Economic Papers, 13, 36-55

Giles, D. E. A. & B. M. Sturmfels, 1979, “Choosing Between Rank-Deficient Restricted Models”, New Zealand Economic Papers, 13, 202-210

Giles, D. E. A. & A. C. Rayner, 1979, “The Mean Squared Errors of the Maximum Likelihood and Natural Conjugate Bayes Regression Estimators”, Journal of Econometrics, 11, 319-334

Giles, D. E. A., 1978, “A Comment on the Application of the R2 Rule for Model Selection”, New Zealand  Statistician, 13, 21-23

Giles, D. E. A., R. G. Smith & B. D. Wilkinson, 1978, “Some Relationships Between Monetary Aggregates and Domestic Activity in New Zealand”, New Zealand Economic Papers, 12, 76-95

Giles, D. E. A. & M. L. King, 1978, “Fourth Order Autocorrelation:  Further Significance Points for the Wallis Test”, Journal of Econometrics, 8, 255-259

Giles, D. E. A. & P. Hampton, 1978, “A Note on Urban Migration in New Zealand”, Journal of Urban Economics, 5, 403-408

King, M. L. & D. E. A. Giles, 1978, “A Comparison of Some Tests for Fourth-Order Autocorrelation”, Australian Economic Papers, 17, 323-333

Giles, D. E. A.  G. H. T. Morgan, 1977, “Alternative Estimates of a Large New Zealand Econometric Model”, New Zealand Economic Papers, 11, 52-67

Giles, D. E. A., 1977, “Current Payments for New Zealand’s Imports:  A Bayesian Analysis”, Applied Economics, 9, 185-201

Giles, D. E. A. & R. G. Smith, 1977, “A Note on the Minimum Error Variance Rule and the Restricted Regression Model”, International Economic Review, 18, 247-251

King, M. L. & D. E. A. Giles, 1977, “A Note on Wallis' Bounds Test and Negative Autocorrelation”, Econometrica, 45, 1023-1026

Giles, D. E. A., P. Hampton & D. Craig, 1976, “A Note on Distance, Preferences and New Zealand's Trading Patterns”, New Zealand Economic Papers, 10, 187-196

Hampton, P. & D. E. A. Giles, 1976, “Growth Centres, City Size and Urban Migration in New Zealand”, Annals of Regional Science, 10, 41-44

Giles, D. E. A., 1975, “Sensitivity Analysis of a New Zealand Econometric Model”, New Zealand Economic Papers, 9, 159-180

Giles, D. E. A., 1975, “Discriminating Between Autoregressive Forms: A Monte Carlo Comparison of Bayesian and Ad Hoc Methods”, Journal of Econometrics, 3, 229-248

Giles, D. E. A., 1975, “A Polynomial Approximation for Distributed Lags”, New Zealand Statistician, 10, 22-26

Giles, D. E. A., 1974, “The Almon Estimator and Serially Correlated Disturbances”, New Zealand Economic Papers, 8, 138-150